Wednesday May 22, 2013 Search
Weather | Athens
30o C
20o C
News
Business
Comment
Life
Sports
Community
Survival Guide
Greek Edition
OECD sees Greek recession lasting through 2013

Greece's battered economy will keep shrinking until mid-2013 as fiscal belt-tightening continues to weigh while austerity fatigue may hamper the pace of reforms, the OECD projected in its May outlook on Tuesday.

The twice bailed-out country is headed for crucial elections on June 17 that could determine if it continues to get funding from its currency partners and remain in the eurozone.

The forecasts by the Paris-based Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development assume Athens fully implements a European Union/International Monetary Fund plan of reforms under a 130-billion-euro rescue package to make its economy more competitive and repair public finances.

"The economy is set to contract until mid-2013 due mainly to needed fiscal retrenchment. Growth may turn positive in the second half of 2013,» the OECD said, expecting a deeper downturn this year than the country's central bank and the EU Commission.

The OECD sees the Greek economy shrinking 5.3 percent this year after a 6.9 percent slump in 2011. The Bank of Greece and the EU Commission expect a contraction of 5.0 and 4.7 percent, respectively, this year.

While growth may return sometime in the second half of 2013, the OECD projected a 1.3 percent contraction for the year as a whole, extending Greece's recession into a sixth year. The EU Commission's full-year projection sees flat GDP growth.

Structural reforms should begin to bear fruit by the middle of next year while bigger use of EU structural funds would help jump-start the economy, the OECD said.

OECD chief economist Pier Carlo Padoan urged Greece to stick to the program of reforms it agreed on with its international lenders.

"Greece must stay in the eurozone. This requires the government to implement -- and I stress to implement -- the program agreed with the troika and other countries,» Padoan told Reuters in an interview.

"Staying in the eurozone will be costly, but leaving the eurozone will be much more costly for Greece and for the other countries,» he said.

Weak demand is expected to brake consumer inflation which is seen slowing to an annual 0.8 percent pace in 2012, with deflation likely to set in by next year.

Unemployment is seen at 21.2 percent this year, rising to 21.6 percent in 2013. The OECD expects higher joblessness than the EU Commission, whose spring forecasts project rates of 19.7 and 19.6 percent for 2012 and 2013.

The current account gap, one of Greece's twin deficits and a sign of eroded competitiveness, is expected to narrow to 6.5 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) next year from an estimated 7.6 percent in 2012.

Looking at risks, the OECD said rising social discontent with austerity could hamper the implementation of reforms.

"A further weakening in the banking sector's already limited capacity to support growth also poses a major risk to the outlook,» it said. [Reuters]

ekathimerini.com , Tuesday May 22, 2012 (11:14)  
Western Macedonia has fifth highest regional unemployment rate in EU, Eurostat finds
Cyprus central bank sees ´substantial´ risks to economy
More visitors expected from China, says tourism minister
Greek media firms owe 51.9 mln euros in unpaid social security tax, minister says
UNICEF voices concern over rise of poverty among children in Greece
A growing number of children in Greece are living below the poverty line or deprived of basic living requirements, according to a report carried out jointly by UNICEF and Athens University a...
Golden Dawn says MP´s words were twisted by Australian broadcaster
Golden Dawn claimed on Wednesday that the words of its MP Ilias Panagiotaros had been intentionally misconstrued by Australian broadcaster SBS after the far-right lawmaker suggested in a TV ...
Inside News
TRACK & FIELD
Otto records world-leading jump in pole vault in Athens
Germany's Bjoern Otto recorded the world's leading performance in the men's pole vault at the Athens Street Pole Vault event that took place at Zappio, in central Athens, on Saturday afterno...
SOCCER
PAS Giannina stuns PAOK at Toumba
PAS Giannina upset PAOK at Thessaloniki on Sunday to take the lead at the Super League play-offs, while Asteras Tripolis rebounded from its loss at Ioannina in midweek to defeat Atromitos at...
Inside Sports
COMMENTARY
Keeping the pirates at bay
One of the biggest problems dragging the Greek economy down is the pressure placed on entrepreneurs aspiring to do business in sectors dominated by the “pirates” and “pimps” of the business ...
EDITORIAL
The writing on the wall
Greek taxpayers have had to pay dozens of millions of euros for the restoration and conservation of the capital’s landmark buildings, including Athens Polytechnic and the so-called neoclassi...
Inside Comment
SPONSORED LINK: FinanzNachrichten.de
 RECENT NEWS
1. UNICEF voices concern over rise of poverty among children in Greece
2. Golden Dawn says MP´s words were twisted by Australian broadcaster
3. Parliamentary employees set to lose wage and pension perks
4. Plan B party chief rules out cooperation with SYRIZA
5. Arson attack on cafe destroys healthcare provider offices in Glyfada
6. EU leaders meet in Brussel to discuss strategy on fighting tax evasion
more news
Today
This Week
1. Son stabs mother to death in Agrinio
2. Arson attack causes extensive damage to Glyfada EOPYY branch
3. Greek current account deficit down 42.5% y-o-y to 1.3bln euros in March
4. Greece's public debt rose slightly to 168.6 percent of GDP in Q1 of 2013
5. Young actor dies
6. Greek media firms owe 51.9 mln euros in unpaid social security tax, minister says
Today
This Week
1. Greece: A reality check
2. Golden Dawn MP ejected from Parl't after 'Heil Hitler' incident [UPDATE]
3. Greek economy shrank by 5.3% in Q1 of 2013 as recession continues
4. Greece isn't turning the corner
5. Do trophies mean anything after all?
6. Slovenian philospher Zizek proposes 'gulag' for those who do not support SYRIZA
Advertiser Link
Last minute info: intensive Greek language lesson in Thessaloniki, 28/5-7/6/2013 – low fees
   Find us ...
  ... on
Twitter
     ... on Facebook   
About us  |  Subscriptions  |  Advertising  |  Contact us  |  Athens Plus  |  International Herald Tribune  |  RSS
Copyright © 2013, H KAΘHMEPINH All Rights Reserved.