Wednesday April 22, 2015 Search
Weather | Athens
14o C
09o C
News
Business
Comment
Life
Sports
Community
Survival Guide
Greek Edition
BoG chief sees 5-pct recession; stresses need for reforms [Update]

By George Georgiopoulos

Greece’s economy will contract a deeper than expected 5 percent this year, the country’s central bank chief said on Tuesday, piling more pressure on to a citizenry already battered by crippling austerity and record joblessness.

The projection topped a previous forecast the central bank made in March, when it projected the 215-billion-euro economy would contract 4.5 percent after a 6.9 percent slump in 2011.

Twice bailed-out Greece is in its fifth consecutive year of recession.

Speaking to shareholders at the central bank’s annual assembly, George Provopoulos, also a European Central Bank Governing Council member, urged strict adherence to reform and fiscal adjustment commitments Greece has agreed with its eurozone partners, saying they were needed to return the economy to sustainable growth.

Athens is under pressure to apply more fiscal austerity to shore up its finances as part of a new rescue package agreed this year with its euro zone partners and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to avert a chaotic default.

Its continued funding under the 130-billion-euro package will hinge on meeting targets.

Provopoulos warned that Greece’s eurozone membership was at stake if it failed to follow through on its pledges, especially after national elections next month.

”If following the election doubts emerge about the new government and society’s will to implement the programme, the current favourable prospects will reverse,” he said.

Greece is set to pick a new government on May 6, with the two main parties in the current coalition seen barely securing a majority in parliament, according to the latest opinion polls.

Whoever wins will have to agree additional spending cuts of 5.5 percent of GDP, or worth about 11 billion euros for 2013-2014, and gather about another 3 billion from better tax collection to keep getting aid, the IMF has said.

The central banker projected Greece’s current account gap, a key indicator reflecting eroded economic competitiveness, would shrink to 7.5 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) this year from 9.8 percent in 2011. In March the central bank forecast the gap would drop to 7 percent of GDP this year.

”The expected drop in unit labor costs in 2012-13, coupled with the projected price trends will lead to a marked improvement in competitiveness, contributing to a rise in exports and import substitution,” he said.

Consumer inflation is seen slowing to 1.2 percent this year and may fall below 0.5 percent in 2013. Weak domestic demand combined with downward wage pressures have shrunk the country’s inflation differential with other eurozone states.

The central bank estimates that by the end of this year the economy will have regained up to three quarters of competitiveness lost during 2001-09. Greece joined the euro in 2001 and enjoyed a consumption boom on lower borrowing costs.

Provopoulos said the fiscal shortfall had come down markedly but remained high. Last year Greece shrank its budget gap by 1.2 percentage points to 9.1 percent of GDP and aims for a 6.7 percent deficit this year.

Austerity measures including income and property tax increases, a rise in value-added tax rates and cuts in wages and pensions, helped reduce the gap from 15.6 percent of GDP in 2009, when its debt crisis erupted.

”The sought attainment of primary surpluses from 2013 is now achievable,” the central banker said.

Provopoulos also said private sector bank deposits had declined by more than 70 billion euros since the end of 2009, a sum equivalent to about one third of the country’s GDP, in a blow to the banking sector’s lending capacity. [Reuters]

ekathimerini.com , Tuesday April 24, 2012 (15:18)  
Carrot to pay income tax all in one go
IOBE: No agreement would be a huge failure
Haircut on Greek banks’ collateral?
Uncertainty hits bookings from Germany and the UK
Greek PM eyes Merkel support
Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is to meet with German Chancellor Angela Merkel Thursday in Brussels in a bid to secure a statement of political support from Berlin amid tough negotiations wit...
Mayors resist coalition´s demand to hand over cash reserves
Mayors insisted on Tuesday that they would not allow their municipalities’ cash reserves to be transferred to the Bank of Greece, as the government wants, at least until they have held a mee...
Inside News
BASKETBALL
Second win for the Reds over Barca in four days
Olympiakos is one step from the Euroleague Final Four in Madrid after downing Barcelona on Tuesday for the second time in four days, to edge ahead 2-1 in the best-of-five play-off series. Th...
BASKETBALL
Panathinaikos recovers to beat CSKA for 2-1
Three-pointer master Panathinaikos had the last laugh at the end of Game 3 of its series with CSKA Moscow on Monday winning 86-85 and reducing the Russians' lead to 2-1 in the best-of-five p...
Inside Sports
COMMENTARY
IMF needs to correct its big Greek bailout mistake
The Greek government's mounting financial woes are leading it to contemplate the unthinkable: defaulting on a loan from the International Monetary Fund. Instead of demanding repayment and fu...
COMMENTARY
Tragedy in the Mediterranean
Every time we in the West see yet another video of an atrocity committed by Islamic State or Boko Haram and express our abhorrence, and every time we are shocked to read of a boatload of mig...
Inside Comment
SPONSORED LINK: FinanzNachrichten.de
SPONSORED LINK: BestPrice.gr
 RECENT NEWS
1. Second win for the Reds over Barca in four days
2. Carrot to pay income tax all in one go
3. IOBE: No agreement would be a huge failure
4. Haircut on Greek banks’ collateral?
5. Uncertainty hits bookings from Germany and the UK
6. No leap in relations with Russia
more news
Today
This Week
1. Greek government's popularity takes a hit as talks drag on
2. Tragedy in the Mediterranean
3. No ferries on Labor Day as seamen take industrial action
4. Silence is not an option
5. Two men accused of migrant smuggling face prosecutor over deadly shipwreck
6. ECB studying curbs on Greek bank support
Today
This Week
1. Quarantine for Greek bank subsidiaries in neighboring countries
2. Time to get serious
3. Putting off payments led to Q1 budget primary surplus
4. Obama calls for flexibility in Greek reform talks in brief exchange with Varoufakis
5. Greece denies report that it is preparing for debt default
6. Greek government's popularity takes a hit as talks drag on
   Find us ...
  ... on
Twitter
     ... on Facebook   
About us  |  Subscriptions  |  Advertising  |  Contact us  |  Athens Plus  |  RSS  |   
Copyright © 2015, H KAΘHMEPINH All Rights Reserved.