IAN BREMMER

The coming dangers for Brazil’s democracy

“I have three alternatives for my future: being arrested, killed or victory.”

The insidious threat of spyware

An Israeli company called NSO Group has created a spyware tool called Pegasus that gives its users an extraordinary ability to surveil and steal secrets from anyone who carries a smartphone.

26.08.2021 / 10:30

Collapse in Afghanistan

The botched withdrawal from Afghanistan is the first major foreign policy crisis of the Biden administration.

11.08.2021 / 12:00

US relations with Russia and China

The conventional wisdom in the United States was that President Donald Trump was extremely tough on China, but suspiciously soft on Russia.

19.06.2021 / 01:02

Brazilian heavyweights set to go head-to-head

Brazil is headed for an ugly political confrontation that will culminate in next year’s bitterest (and most interesting) presidential election.

08.05.2021 / 21:49

Biden’s foreign policy of ‘competitive coexistence’

The US-China relationship is heading for more confrontation – both because there’s too much at stake politically for US President Joe Biden at home and because Biden has serious objections to China’s vision of the world.

19.04.2021 / 02:30

Continental drift

Donald Trump changed America – not as much as his supporters wanted, but more than his critics hoped.

11.03.2021 / 06:20

Containment, interdependence, or something all-together new

There is one policy point Biden and Donald Trump strongly agree on – China today is the only true geopolitical rival that can threaten the US’s perch atop the global order.

21.02.2021 / 13:57

The perils of K-shaped recoveries

A year into the pandemic, the health effects of Covid-19 speak for themselves – more than 105 million people known to be infected worldwide, more than 2 million dead.

20.01.2021 / 10:28

Threat to US democracy imperils democracy the world over

Eurasia Group released our annual Top Risks at the start of the month and just like last year, the United States ranks at the top of the list. Unlike last year though, our concerns for the US extend far beyond the next calendar year.

01.01.2021 / 19:17

The world under Biden will not be different than before

Joe Biden will be the next US president, to the dismay of millions of Americans and the delight of millions more. Supporters and critics alike are expecting the Biden administration to usher in big changes for the world. That’s not likely to happen.

11.10.2020 / 23:30

What policy changes could we expect from a Biden administration?

The rollercoaster that is the 2020 US elections continues to twist and turn. Even before the “October surprise” of President Donald Trump’s Covid-19 diagnosis, the polls were not looking good for him.

14.09.2020 / 16:19

America has never seen a presidential race like this

For most of the summer, former US vice president Joe Biden has maintained a sizable polling lead over incumbent Donald Trump in the race for the presidency. In recent weeks though, the polls have tightened.

17.08.2020 / 18:08

How deteriorating relations are more about China’s decisions than America’s

Chinese President Xi Jinping had successfully spent the last three years channeling the Trump administration’s belligerence toward Beijing into more support for himself at home, and more sympathy for China abroad.

11.07.2020 / 16:17

Merkel’s resurgence

Strong leaders rise in times of crisis. For the world’s authoritarian states, that has meant more emergency powers for strongmen rulers. For Europe, that has meant the political resurgence of one Angela Merkel.